Online football betting – Finding value in unusual markets

While betting on standard markets like point spreads and game totals will always make up the bulk of wagers, sportsbooks also offer more exotic options. These niche markets rarely attract as much action, creating the potential for savvy bettors to find value. Player prop bets focus on outcomes for individual players rather than the game itself. These are on a player’s passing, rushing, or receiving yards, whether a quarterback will throw an interception, or if a player will score a touchdown. The odds are set based on historical stats and matchup factors.

Because there are numerous player options in each game, books have a difficult time setting perfectly sharp lines. By projecting performances yourself using your football knowledge, it is sometimes possible to spot inflated numbers. You also use correlations between player props to increase your chances. Betting a QB to go over his passing yards and also throw at least 2 TD passes doubles your opportunity to win both wagers. Focus on players in advantageous matchups when considering props.

Live betting

We mentioned previously how live betting allows you to react to events and mispriced odds in real-time. In addition to betting spreads and totals, sportsbooks provide more live props as games play out. These include wagers like which player will score the next touchdown, the result of the next drive, and whether an upcoming field goal try will be successful. The key to profiting from live props is swift reaction time. You need to instantly spot value before the sportsbooks adjust the odds back in line with probability. Consider trends for that game and matchup history to estimate likelihoods. If you quickly assess a prop has longer odds than it should, you can gain an edge with your wager.

Futures and outrights

Betting season-long futures and championship outright winners seem daunting at first. By breaking down options into likelihood tiers, identifying value becomes much easier. Focus first on the top Super Bowl contenders with realistic title chances. For the mid-tier playoff hopefuls, assess chances of exceeding expectations or injuries possibly derailing them. Evaluate the bottom teams carefully for sleepers with breakout potential before the market catches on. Updating these tiers weekly and targeting the biggest discrepancies between your assessments and the sportsbooks’ odds will pay off when futures resolve after the Super Bowl. Patience is key, as the best value may not be apparent early in the season.

Parlay bets

Parlays involve combining multiple picks into a single bet, which only pays off if each leg wins. While enticing due to the inflated odds, they are incredibly hard to hit. Certain situational parlay opportunities occasionally offer better rewards than betting props individually. For example, pairing a QB and WR on the same team scoring a touchdown. Parlaying a team to win and their running back gaining over 100 rushing yards. Look for obvious correlations where the bets complement each other. With the right pairing where you rate both outcomes higher than the parlay odds, take the shot. For more information, visit our website at Top1casino.net.

Post Author: Tereso sobo